10:01 Thursday, March 31, 2005 4 The REG Procedure Model: MODEL1 Dependent Variable: leadchng Analysis of Variance Sum of Mean Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F Model 3 14287 4762.46774 44.00 <.0001 Error 147 15909 108.22715 Corrected Total 150 30197 Root MSE 10.40323 R-Square 0.4731 Dependent Mean 21.14570 Adj R-Sq 0.4624 Coeff Var 49.19785 Parameter Estimates Parameter Standard Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t| Intercept 1 -42.98717 9.17731 -4.68 <.0001 drivers 1 1.10316 0.28506 3.87 0.0002 trklength 1 10.19357 3.66673 2.78 0.0061 laps 1 0.03110 0.01766 1.76 0.0803 Residual vs Fitted - OLS Regression 5 10:01 Thursday, March 31, 2005 Plot of e*yhat. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc. 40 ˆ ‚ ‚ ‚ ‚ ‚ A 30 ˆ ‚ A A ‚ ‚ A ‚ A A ‚ 20 ˆ A A ‚ A ‚ ‚ A AA A ‚ A A R ‚ A e 10 ˆ A BB A s ‚ AA A A AA A A i ‚ A A B A A A d ‚ A B AA A B A u ‚ A A A A B AA a ‚ AAA AAC CA B AA B l 0 ˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒAƒAƒAABƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒBƒAƒƒƒAƒƒAƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ ‚ A B A A A A A ‚ B A A AA A A ‚ A A B B BAA A A A ‚ A AAA AA A ‚ B A A B -10 ˆ A B A ‚ A AAA A ‚ B BA ‚ A A A A ‚ AB ‚ B -20 ˆ A ‚ A ‚ ‚ ‚ ‚ A -30 ˆ Šƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ 0 10 20 30 40 50 Predicted Value of leadchng 10:01 Thursday, March 31, 2005 6 The GENMOD Procedure Model Information Data Set WORK.ONE Distribution Poisson Link Function Log Dependent Variable cautions Observations Used 151 Criteria For Assessing Goodness Of Fit Criterion DF Value Value/DF Deviance 150 215.4915 1.4366 Scaled Deviance 150 215.4915 1.4366 Pearson Chi-Square 150 201.6050 1.3440 Scaled Pearson X2 150 201.6050 1.3440 Log Likelihood 410.8784 Algorithm converged. Analysis Of Parameter Estimates Standard Wald 95% Chi- Parameter DF Estimate Error Confidence Limits Square Pr > ChiSq Intercept 1 1.5675 0.0372 1.4947 1.6404 1778.93 <.0001 Scale 0 1.0000 0.0000 1.0000 1.0000 NOTE: The scale parameter was held fixed. 10:01 Thursday, March 31, 2005 7 The GENMOD Procedure Model Information Data Set WORK.REGOUT Distribution Poisson Link Function Log Dependent Variable cautions Observations Used 151 Criteria For Assessing Goodness Of Fit Criterion DF Value Value/DF Deviance 147 171.2162 1.1647 Scaled Deviance 147 171.2162 1.1647 Pearson Chi-Square 147 158.8281 1.0805 Scaled Pearson X2 147 158.8281 1.0805 Log Likelihood 433.0160 Algorithm converged. Analysis Of Parameter Estimates Standard Wald 95% Chi- Parameter DF Estimate Error Confidence Limits Square Pr > ChiSq Intercept 1 -0.7963 0.4117 -1.6032 0.0107 3.74 0.0531 drivers 1 0.0365 0.0125 0.0120 0.0610 8.55 0.0035 trklength 1 0.1145 0.1684 -0.2156 0.4446 0.46 0.4966 laps 1 0.0026 0.0008 0.0010 0.0041 10.82 0.0010 Scale 0 1.0000 0.0000 1.0000 1.0000 NOTE: The scale parameter was held fixed.